Cleveland Cavaliers
78 games
ATS29–48
O/U37–40
48.1% over the closing total
NBA 2025–26
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Profile
Cleveland Cavaliers games go over 57.9% on the road, averaging +2.3 points above the closing total.
After a Loss
31 games
ATS13–17
O/U15–15
31 games after a straight-up loss this season
ATS · Home
14–25
35.9% against the spread
40 games
ATS · Away
15–23
39.5% against the spread
38 games
O/U · Home
15–24
38.5% over the closing total
40 games · avg -3.2 pts
O/U · Away
22–16
57.9% over the closing total
38 games · avg +2.3 pts
Strongest Plays
1
Over at home, 2 days rest
100%
4 games · +24 vs close
2
Over on the road
57.9%
38 games · +2.3 vs close
Home vs Away
Home (40 games)
PPG118.8
Opponent PPG114.4
Avg Total233.2
Close-Game Over %37.5%
Blowout Rate30%
Away (38 games)
PPG119.4
Opponent PPG116.3
Avg Total235.7
Over %57.9%
Cover %39.5%
Over rate is 19 points higher on the road (57.9% vs 38.5% at home).
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 6 | 50% | -7.7 | 16.7% |
| 1 day rest | 27 | 26.9% | -4.9 | 46.2% |
| 2 days rest | 4 | 100% | +24 | 0% |
| 3+ days rest | 3 | 33.3% | -15.5 | 33.3% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 6 | 50% | -1.5 | 50% |
| 1 day rest | 25 | 56% | +1.5 | 44% |
| 2 days rest | 4 | 50% | +7.5 | 25% |
| 3+ days rest | 3 | 100% | +9.5 | 0% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10 | Minnesota | 146-134 | 280 | 240.5 | +39.5 |
| Mar 25 | Magic | 136-131 | 267 | 230.5 | +36.5 |
| Dec 23 | Hornets | 139-132 | 271 | 239.5 | +31.5 |
| Dec 20 | Bulls | 125-136 | 261 | 238.5 | +22.5 |
| Nov 6 | 76ers | 132-121 | 253 | 235.5 | +17.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10 | Minnesota | 240.5 | 240.5 | +0 | 280 | +39.5 | OVER |
| Mar 25 | Magic | 228.5 | 230.5 | +2 | 267 | +36.5 | OVER |
| Dec 23 | Hornets | 239.5 | 239.5 | +0 | 271 | +31.5 | OVER |
| Dec 20 | Bulls | 238.5 | 238.5 | +0 | 261 | +22.5 | OVER |
| Nov 6 | 76ers | 235.5 | 235.5 | +0 | 253 | +17.5 | OVER |
| Mar 15 | Mavericks | 239.5 | 233.5 | -6 | 250 | +16.5 | OVER |
| Feb 12 | Wizards | 238.5 | 238.5 | +0 | 251 | +12.5 | OVER |
| Jan 19 | OKC | 229.5 | 229.5 | +0 | 240 | +10.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
6 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31 | @ Jazz AWAY |
2 days | No edge |
| Apr 1 | @ LA Lakers AWAY · B2B |
B2B | No edge |
| Apr 3 | @ Golden State AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 5 | vs Pacers HOME |
2 days | Standard |
| Apr 7 | @ Grizzlies AWAY · B2B |
B2B | No edge |
| Apr 8 | vs Hawks HOME |
1 days | Standard |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27 | Heat | 149-128 | 277 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 25 | Heat | 103-120 | 223 | 243.5 | -20.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 25 | Magic | 136-131 | 267 | 230.5 | +36.5 | OVER |
| Mar 21 | @ New Orleans | 106-111 | 217 | 233.5 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 20 | @ Bulls | 110-115 | 225 | 236.5 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 18 | @ Bucks | 116-123 | 239 | 226.5 | +12.5 | OVER |
| Mar 15 | Mavericks | 120-130 | 250 | 233.5 | +16.5 | OVER |
| Mar 13 | @ Mavericks | 105-138 | 243 | 236.5 | +6.5 | OVER |
| Mar 11 | @ Magic | 128-122 | 250 | 226.5 | +23.5 | OVER |
| Mar 9 | 76ers | 115-101 | 216 | 226.5 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 8 | Celtics | 98-109 | 207 | 224.5 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 4 | Pistons | 113-109 | 222 | 227.5 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 1 | @ Nets | 102-106 | 208 | 224.5 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| Feb 28 | @ Pistons | 122-119 | 241 | 227.5 | +13.5 | OVER |
| Feb 26 | @ Bucks | 118-116 | 234 | 220.5 | +13.5 | OVER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-27 (78 games: 40 home, 38 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 39 of 40 home games and 38 of 38 away games with verified lines.
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