Dallas Mavericks
78 games
ATS36–40
O/U33–45
42.3% over the closing total
NBA 2025–26
Dallas Mavericks Betting Profile
Dallas Mavericks are 19-20 O/U at home and 14-25 on the road this season.
After a Loss
51 games
ATS25–24
O/U18–33
51 games after a straight-up loss this season
ATS · Home
19–19
50% against the spread
39 games
ATS · Away
17–21
44.7% against the spread
39 games
O/U · Home
19–20
48.7% over the closing total
39 games · avg -3.2 pts
O/U · Away
14–25
35.9% over the closing total
39 games · avg -2.8 pts
Strongest Plays
1
Home cover on back-to-back
62.5%
8 games
Home vs Away
Home (39 games)
PPG111.9
Opponent PPG115.3
Avg Total227.2
Close-Game Over %50%
Blowout Rate20.5%
Away (39 games)
PPG112.7
Opponent PPG118
Avg Total230.6
Over %35.9%
Cover %44.7%
Over rate drops 13 points on the road (48.7% → 35.9%). This is a home-only play.
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 8 | 50% | -27.5 | 62.5% |
| 1 day rest | 21 | 52.4% | +4.5 | 45% |
| 2 days rest | 5 | 40% | +4.9 | 60% |
| 3+ days rest | 5 | 40% | -4.3 | 40% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 5 | 0% | -8.3 | 40% |
| 1 day rest | 28 | 35.7% | -2.9 | 48.1% |
| 2 days rest | 4 | 75% | +0.8 | 0% |
| 3+ days rest | 2 | 50% | +4.5 | 100% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | Clippers | 127-133 | 260 | 220.5 | +39.5 |
| Mar 24 | Golden State | 131-137 | 268 | 230.5 | +37.5 |
| Mar 22 | Clippers | 131-138 | 269 | 233.5 | +35.5 |
| Oct 26 | Raptors | 139-129 | 268 | 232.5 | +35.5 |
| Nov 17 | Portland | 138-133 | 271 | 236.5 | +34.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | Clippers | 220.5 | 220.5 | +0 | 260 | +39.5 | OVER |
| Mar 24 | Golden State | 229.5 | 230.5 | +1 | 268 | +37.5 | OVER |
| Mar 22 | Clippers | 232.5 | 233.5 | +1 | 269 | +35.5 | OVER |
| Oct 26 | Raptors | 232.5 | 232.5 | +0 | 268 | +35.5 | OVER |
| Nov 17 | Portland | 236.5 | 236.5 | +0 | 271 | +34.5 | OVER |
| Feb 6 | San Antonio | 230.5 | 230.5 | +0 | 258 | +27.5 | OVER |
| Jan 16 | Jazz | 238.5 | 238.5 | +0 | 266 | +27.5 | OVER |
| Dec 24 | Nuggets | 236.5 | 236.5 | +0 | 261 | +24.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
6 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26 | @ Bucks AWAY · B2B |
B2B | No edge |
| Mar 31 | vs Minnesota HOME |
63 days | Standard |
| Apr 1 | @ Bucks AWAY · B2B |
B2B | No edge |
| Apr 4 | vs Magic HOME |
2 days | Standard |
| Apr 5 | vs LA Lakers HOME |
1 days | Standard |
| Apr 8 | @ Clippers AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | @ Portland | 93-100 | 193 | 240 | -47 | UNDER |
| Mar 26 | @ Nuggets | 142-135 | 277 | 246.5 | +30.5 | OVER |
| Mar 24 | Golden State | 131-137 | 268 | 230.5 | +37.5 | OVER |
| Mar 22 | Clippers | 131-138 | 269 | 233.5 | +35.5 | OVER |
| Mar 19 | Hawks | 120-135 | 255 | 239.5 | +15.5 | OVER |
| Mar 17 | @ New Orleans | 129-111 | 240 | 240.5 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 15 | @ Cavaliers | 120-130 | 250 | 233.5 | +16.5 | OVER |
| Mar 13 | Cavaliers | 105-138 | 243 | 236.5 | +6.5 | OVER |
| Mar 13 | @ Grizzlies | 112-120 | 232 | 239.5 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 10 | @ Hawks | 124-112 | 236 | 240.5 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 8 | @ Raptors | 122-92 | 214 | 233.5 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 7 | @ Celtics | 120-100 | 220 | 226.5 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 6 | @ Magic | 115-114 | 229 | 230.5 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 4 | @ Hornets | 117-90 | 207 | 226.5 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 2 | OKC | 87-100 | 187 | 236.5 | -49.5 | UNDER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (78 games: 39 home, 39 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 39 of 39 home games and 39 of 39 away games with verified lines.
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