Detroit Pistons
78 games
ATS37–38
O/U33–44
42.9% over the closing total
NBA 2025–26
Detroit Pistons Betting Profile
Detroit Pistons are 17-21 O/U at home and 16-23 on the road this season.
After a Loss
22 games
ATS11–10
O/U10–11
22 games after a straight-up loss this season
ATS · Home
17–20
45.9% against the spread
39 games
ATS · Away
20–18
52.6% against the spread
39 games
O/U · Home
17–21
44.7% over the closing total
39 games · avg -1.8 pts
O/U · Away
16–23
41% over the closing total
39 games · avg -1.4 pts
Strongest Plays
1
Home cover on 2 days rest
66.7%
4 games
Home vs Away
Home (39 games)
PPG118.2
Opponent PPG107.7
Avg Total225.9
Close-Game Over %44.4%
Blowout Rate38.5%
Away (39 games)
PPG116.5
Opponent PPG111.5
Avg Total228
Over %41%
Cover %52.6%
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 8 | 42.9% | -2.9 | 28.6% |
| 1 day rest | 25 | 44% | -2 | 48% |
| 2 days rest | 4 | 50% | -3.3 | 66.7% |
| 3+ days rest | 2 | 50% | +8.5 | 50% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 5 | 100% | +21.1 | 60% |
| 1 day rest | 23 | 26.1% | -7.1 | 50% |
| 2 days rest | 6 | 33.3% | -3.5 | 50% |
| 3+ days rest | 5 | 60% | +4.5 | 60% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | Wizards | 137-135 | 272 | 236.5 | +35.5 |
| Mar 25 | Hawks | 129-130 | 259 | 229.5 | +29.5 |
| Jan 25 | Kings | 139-116 | 255 | 226.5 | +28.5 |
| Oct 29 | Magic | 135-116 | 251 | 226.5 | +24.5 |
| Dec 13 | Hawks | 142-115 | 257 | 233.5 | +23.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | Wizards | 236.5 | 236.5 | +0 | 272 | +35.5 | OVER |
| Mar 25 | Hawks | 226.5 | 229.5 | +3 | 259 | +29.5 | OVER |
| Jan 25 | Kings | 226.5 | 226.5 | +0 | 255 | +28.5 | OVER |
| Oct 29 | Magic | 226.5 | 226.5 | +0 | 251 | +24.5 | OVER |
| Dec 13 | Hawks | 233.5 | 233.5 | +0 | 257 | +23.5 | OVER |
| Feb 26 | OKC | 220.5 | 220.5 | +0 | 240 | +19.5 | OVER |
| Mar 12 | 76ers | 219.5 | 224.5 | +5 | 240 | +15.5 | OVER |
| Feb 6 | Wizards | 227.5 | 227.5 | +0 | 243 | +15.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
6 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31 | @ OKC AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 1 | vs Raptors HOME · B2B |
B2B | Standard |
| Apr 2 | vs Minnesota HOME |
1 days | Standard |
| Apr 4 | @ 76ers AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 6 | @ Magic AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 8 | vs Bucks HOME |
1 days | Standard |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | @ Minnesota | 87-109 | 196 | 222.5 | -26.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 26 | New Orleans | 129-108 | 237 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 25 | Hawks | 129-130 | 259 | 229.5 | +29.5 | OVER |
| Mar 23 | LA Lakers | 113-110 | 223 | 225.5 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 20 | Golden State | 115-101 | 216 | 218.5 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 19 | @ Wizards | 95-117 | 212 | 231.5 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 17 | @ Wizards | 117-130 | 247 | 233.5 | +13.5 | OVER |
| Mar 15 | @ Raptors | 119-108 | 227 | 224.5 | +2.5 | OVER |
| Mar 13 | Grizzlies | 126-110 | 236 | 233.5 | +2.5 | OVER |
| Mar 12 | 76ers | 131-109 | 240 | 224.5 | +15.5 | OVER |
| Mar 10 | @ Nets | 100-138 | 238 | 216.5 | +21.5 | OVER |
| Mar 8 | @ Heat | 121-110 | 231 | 230.5 | +0.5 | OVER |
| Mar 7 | Nets | 105-107 | 212 | 214.5 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 6 | @ San Antonio | 121-106 | 227 | 227.5 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 4 | @ Cavaliers | 113-109 | 222 | 227.5 | -5.5 | UNDER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (78 games: 39 home, 39 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 38 of 39 home games and 39 of 39 away games with verified lines.
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