Houston Rockets
77 games
ATS33–42
O/U33–43
43.4% over the closing total
NBA 2025–26
Houston Rockets Betting Profile
Houston Rockets are 13-24 O/U at home and 20-19 on the road this season.
After a Loss
28 games
ATS14–13
O/U9–18
28 games after a straight-up loss this season
ATS · Home
15–22
40.5% against the spread
37 games
ATS · Away
18–20
47.4% against the spread
40 games
O/U · Home
13–24
35.1% over the closing total
37 games · avg -2.8 pts
O/U · Away
20–19
51.3% over the closing total
40 games · avg -2.6 pts
Home vs Away
Home (37 games)
PPG114.1
Opponent PPG107.8
Avg Total221.8
Close-Game Over %30.4%
Blowout Rate29.7%
Away (40 games)
PPG113.2
Opponent PPG110.5
Avg Total223.7
Over %51.3%
Cover %47.4%
Over rate is 16 points higher on the road (51.3% vs 35.1% at home).
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 5 | 0% | -7.7 | 40% |
| 1 day rest | 23 | 34.8% | -2.5 | 43.5% |
| 2 days rest | 7 | 42.9% | -3.4 | 28.6% |
| 3+ days rest | 2 | 100% | +8 | 50% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 7 | 42.9% | -30.5 | 42.9% |
| 1 day rest | 23 | 54.5% | +3.2 | 42.9% |
| 2 days rest | 5 | 40% | -1.5 | 80% |
| 3+ days rest | 5 | 60% | +9.9 | 40% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | Jazz | 140-127 | 267 | 225.5 | +41.5 |
| Dec 30 | Pacers | 126-119 | 245 | 223.5 | +21.5 |
| Oct 28 | Nets | 137-109 | 246 | 224.5 | +21.5 |
| Nov 15 | Portland | 140-116 | 256 | 236.5 | +19.5 |
| Mar 19 | LA Lakers | 116-124 | 240 | 223.5 | +16.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | Jazz | 225.5 | 225.5 | +0 | 267 | +41.5 | OVER |
| Dec 30 | Pacers | 223.5 | 223.5 | +0 | 245 | +21.5 | OVER |
| Oct 28 | Nets | 224.5 | 224.5 | +0 | 246 | +21.5 | OVER |
| Nov 15 | Portland | 236.5 | 236.5 | +0 | 256 | +19.5 | OVER |
| Mar 19 | LA Lakers | 222.5 | 223.5 | +1 | 240 | +16.5 | OVER |
| Mar 6 | Golden State | 214.5 | 214.5 | +0 | 228 | +13.5 | OVER |
| Oct 7 | Hawks | 225.5 | 225.5 | +0 | 235 | +9.5 | OVER |
| Nov 13 | Wizards | 238.5 | 238.5 | +0 | 247 | +8.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
6 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | @ New Orleans AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 1 | vs New York HOME |
1 days | Standard |
| Apr 2 | vs Bucks HOME · B2B |
B2B | Standard |
| Apr 4 | vs Jazz HOME |
1 days | Standard |
| Apr 6 | @ Golden State AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 8 | @ Suns AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | @ Grizzlies | 109-119 | 228 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 26 | @ Minnesota | 110-108 | 218 | 223.5 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 24 | @ Bulls | 132-124 | 256 | 230.5 | +25.5 | OVER |
| Mar 22 | Heat | 123-122 | 245 | 245.5 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 21 | Hawks | 117-95 | 212 | 227 | -15 | UNDER |
| Mar 19 | LA Lakers | 116-124 | 240 | 223.5 | +16.5 | OVER |
| Mar 17 | LA Lakers | 92-100 | 192 | 223.5 | -31.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 14 | New Orleans | 107-105 | 212 | 230.5 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 12 | @ Nuggets | 129-93 | 222 | 232.5 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 11 | Raptors | 113-99 | 212 | 220.5 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 9 | @ San Antonio | 145-120 | 265 | 223.5 | +41.5 | OVER |
| Mar 7 | Portland | 106-99 | 205 | 220.5 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 6 | Golden State | 113-115 | 228 | 214.5 | +13.5 | OVER |
| Mar 3 | @ Wizards | 118-123 | 241 | 224.5 | +16.5 | OVER |
| Feb 28 | @ Heat | 115-105 | 220 | 226.5 | -6.5 | UNDER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (77 games: 37 home, 40 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 37 of 37 home games and 39 of 40 away games with verified lines.
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