Indiana Pacers
78 games
ATS34–42
O/U38–39
49.4% over the closing total
NBA 2025–26
Indiana Pacers Betting Profile
Indiana Pacers cover 55.3% at home this season.
After a Loss
59 games
ATS22–35
O/U31–27
59 games after a straight-up loss this season
ATS · Home
21–17
55.3% against the spread
39 games
ATS · Away
13–25
34.2% against the spread
39 games
O/U · Home
18–20
47.4% over the closing total
39 games · avg -0.4 pts
O/U · Away
20–19
51.3% over the closing total
39 games · avg +3.1 pts
Strongest Plays
1
Home cover on 3+ days rest
100%
3 games
2
Over at home, 3+ days rest
66.7%
3 games · +9.2 vs close
3
Home cover (all rest)
55.3%
38 games
Home vs Away
Home (39 games)
PPG113.7
Opponent PPG118.8
Avg Total232.5
Close-Game Over %47.6%
Blowout Rate38.5%
Away (39 games)
PPG110.5
Opponent PPG122.8
Avg Total233.2
Over %51.3%
Cover %34.2%
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 6 | 33.3% | -9.5 | 66.7% |
| 1 day rest | 25 | 50% | -0.5 | 45.8% |
| 2 days rest | 5 | 40% | +5.5 | 60% |
| 3+ days rest | 3 | 66.7% | +9.2 | 100% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 6 | 50% | -0.5 | 33.3% |
| 1 day rest | 23 | 52.2% | +4.6 | 36.4% |
| 2 days rest | 6 | 50% | -1.9 | 33.3% |
| 3+ days rest | 4 | 50% | +7.3 | 25% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | OKC | 135-141 | 276 | 230.5 | +45.5 |
| Dec 27 | Celtics | 122-140 | 262 | 222.5 | +39.5 |
| Feb 22 | Mavericks | 130-134 | 264 | 237.5 | +26.5 |
| Mar 25 | LA Lakers | 130-137 | 267 | 241.5 | +25.5 |
| Dec 2 | Cavaliers | 119-135 | 254 | 230.5 | +23.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | OKC | 230.5 | 230.5 | +0 | 276 | +45.5 | OVER |
| Dec 27 | Celtics | 222.5 | 222.5 | +0 | 262 | +39.5 | OVER |
| Feb 22 | Mavericks | 237.5 | 237.5 | +0 | 264 | +26.5 | OVER |
| Mar 25 | LA Lakers | 237.5 | 241.5 | +4 | 267 | +25.5 | OVER |
| Dec 2 | Cavaliers | 230.5 | 230.5 | +0 | 254 | +23.5 | OVER |
| Feb 4 | Jazz | 232.5 | 232.5 | +0 | 253 | +20.5 | OVER |
| Feb 1 | Hawks | 234.5 | 234.5 | +0 | 253 | +18.5 | OVER |
| Dec 4 | Nuggets | 238.5 | 238.5 | +0 | 255 | +16.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
5 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | vs Heat HOME |
1 days | Home cover in profile |
| Apr 2 | @ Bulls AWAY |
2 days | No edge |
| Apr 3 | @ Hornets AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 5 | @ Cavaliers AWAY |
1 days | No edge |
| Apr 7 | vs Minnesota HOME |
1 days | Home cover in profile |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27 | Clippers | 113-114 | 227 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 25 | LA Lakers | 130-137 | 267 | 241.5 | +25.5 | OVER |
| Mar 23 | @ Magic | 126-128 | 254 | 233 | +21 | OVER |
| Mar 22 | @ San Antonio | 134-119 | 253 | 231.5 | +21.5 | OVER |
| Mar 18 | Portland | 119-127 | 246 | 233.5 | +12.5 | OVER |
| Mar 17 | @ New York | 136-110 | 246 | 222.5 | +23.5 | OVER |
| Mar 15 | @ Bucks | 134-123 | 257 | 227.5 | +29.5 | OVER |
| Mar 13 | New York | 92-101 | 193 | 228.5 | -35.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 12 | Suns | 108-123 | 231 | 222.5 | +8.5 | OVER |
| Mar 11 | @ Kings | 114-109 | 223 | 236.5 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 9 | @ Portland | 131-111 | 242 | 238.5 | +3.5 | OVER |
| Mar 7 | @ LA Lakers | 128-117 | 245 | 235.5 | +9.5 | OVER |
| Mar 5 | @ Clippers | 130-107 | 237 | 230.5 | +6.5 | OVER |
| Mar 1 | Grizzlies | 106-125 | 231 | 236.5 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| Feb 27 | Hornets | 109-133 | 242 | 229.5 | +12.5 | OVER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-27 (78 games: 39 home, 39 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 38 of 39 home games and 39 of 39 away games with verified lines.
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