Memphis Grizzlies
77 games
ATS36–39
O/U39–37
51.3% over the closing total
NBA 2025–26
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Profile
Memphis Grizzlies are 20-18 O/U at home and 19-19 on the road this season.
After a Loss
51 games
ATS25–24
O/U25–25
51 games after a straight-up loss this season
ATS · Home
17–21
44.7% against the spread
39 games
ATS · Away
19–18
51.4% against the spread
38 games
O/U · Home
20–18
52.6% over the closing total
39 games · avg -1.6 pts
O/U · Away
19–19
50% over the closing total
38 games · avg +1.6 pts
Strongest Plays
1
Over at home, 2 days rest
85.7%
7 games · +3.9 vs close
2
Home cover on 2 days rest
71.4%
7 games
Home vs Away
Home (39 games)
PPG115.8
Opponent PPG116
Avg Total231.8
Close-Game Over %59.1%
Blowout Rate35.9%
Away (38 games)
PPG114.5
Opponent PPG121
Avg Total235.5
Over %50%
Cover %51.4%
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 5 | 40% | -4.3 | 40% |
| 1 day rest | 22 | 42.9% | -3.8 | 33.3% |
| 2 days rest | 7 | 85.7% | +3.9 | 71.4% |
| 3+ days rest | 5 | 60% | +2.3 | 60% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 7 | 85.7% | +12.3 | 57.1% |
| 1 day rest | 23 | 43.5% | +1.2 | 54.5% |
| 2 days rest | 6 | 16.7% | -12.8 | 50% |
| 3+ days rest | 2 | 100% | +12.5 | 0% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | 76ers | 136-139 | 275 | 235.5 | +39.5 |
| Feb 3 | Minnesota | 137-128 | 265 | 232.5 | +32.5 |
| Oct 25 | Heat | 114-146 | 260 | 232.5 | +27.5 |
| Jan 24 | New Orleans | 127-133 | 260 | 240.5 | +19.5 |
| Dec 21 | Wizards | 122-130 | 252 | 233.5 | +18.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | 76ers | 235.5 | 235.5 | +0 | 275 | +39.5 | OVER |
| Feb 3 | Minnesota | 232.5 | 232.5 | +0 | 265 | +32.5 | OVER |
| Oct 25 | Heat | 232.5 | 232.5 | +0 | 260 | +27.5 | OVER |
| Jan 24 | New Orleans | 240.5 | 240.5 | +0 | 260 | +19.5 | OVER |
| Dec 21 | Wizards | 233.5 | 233.5 | +0 | 252 | +18.5 | OVER |
| Feb 26 | Golden State | 227.5 | 227.5 | +0 | 245 | +17.5 | OVER |
| Feb 1 | Minnesota | 229.5 | 229.5 | +0 | 245 | +15.5 | OVER |
| Mar 8 | Clippers | 227.5 | 229.5 | +2 | 243 | +13.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
6 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5 | @ LA Lakers AWAY · B2B |
B2B | No edge |
| Jan 25 | vs Nuggets HOME |
20 days | Standard |
| Mar 29 | vs Bulls HOME |
61 days | Standard |
| Mar 31 | vs Suns HOME |
1 days | Standard |
| Apr 2 | vs New York HOME |
1 days | Standard |
| Apr 4 | vs Raptors HOME |
1 days | Standard |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | Rockets | 109-119 | 228 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 26 | San Antonio | 98-123 | 221 | 234.5 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 23 | @ Hawks | 146-107 | 253 | 241 | +12 | OVER |
| Mar 21 | @ Hornets | 124-101 | 225 | 222 | +3 | OVER |
| Mar 21 | Celtics | 112-117 | 229 | 229 | +0 | PUSH |
| Mar 19 | Nuggets | 125-118 | 243 | 246.5 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 17 | @ Bulls | 132-107 | 239 | 243.5 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 13 | @ Pistons | 126-110 | 236 | 233.5 | +2.5 | OVER |
| Mar 13 | Mavericks | 112-120 | 232 | 239.5 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 10 | @ 76ers | 139-129 | 268 | 229.5 | +38.5 | OVER |
| Mar 9 | @ Nets | 126-115 | 241 | 220.5 | +20.5 | OVER |
| Mar 8 | Clippers | 120-123 | 243 | 229.5 | +13.5 | OVER |
| Mar 5 | Portland | 114-122 | 236 | 231.5 | +4.5 | OVER |
| Mar 4 | @ Minnesota | 117-110 | 227 | 235.5 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 1 | @ Pacers | 106-125 | 231 | 236.5 | -5.5 | UNDER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (77 games: 39 home, 38 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 38 of 39 home games and 38 of 38 away games with verified lines.
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