NBA 2025–26

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Profile

Minnesota Timberwolves games go over 61.5% on the road, averaging +8.3 points above the closing total.

Minnesota Timberwolves

80 games

ATS32–45

O/U37–42

46.8% over the closing total

After a Loss

32 games

ATS13–17

O/U15–16

32 games after a straight-up loss this season

ATS · Home

17–22

43.6% against the spread

41 games

ATS · Away

15–23

39.5% against the spread

39 games

O/U · Home

13–27

32.5% over the closing total

41 games · avg -5.4 pts

O/U · Away

24–15

61.5% over the closing total

39 games · avg +8.3 pts

Strongest Plays

Over at home, back-to-back

62.5%

8 games · -0.3 vs close

Home cover on back-to-back

62.5%

8 games

Over on the road

61.5%

39 games · +8.3 vs close

Home vs Away

Home (41 games)

PPG115.5

Opponent PPG110.1

Avg Total225.6

Close-Game Over %23.5%

Blowout Rate34.1%

Away (39 games)

PPG120.7

Opponent PPG118.6

Avg Total239.2

Over %61.5%

Cover %39.5%

Over rate is 29 points higher on the road (61.5% vs 32.5% at home).

Rest Splits (Home)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	8	62.5%	-0.3	62.5%
1 day rest	24	25%	-7.3	41.7%
2 days rest	6	33.3%	-4.2	20%
3+ days rest	3	0%	-6.5	50%

Rest Splits (Away)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	5	80%	+18.7	40%
1 day rest	23	60.9%	+8.5	36.4%
2 days rest	8	37.5%	-2.1	37.5%
3+ days rest	3	100%	+17.2	66.7%

Largest Over Beats (Home)

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close
Oct 8	Pacers	134-135	269	224.5	+44.5
Mar 19	Jazz	147-111	258	231.5	+26.5
Feb 10	Hawks	138-116	254	239.5	+14.5
Jan 9	Cavaliers	131-122	253	239.5	+13.5
Oct 28	Nuggets	114-127	241	229.5	+11.5

Opening vs Closing Lines

8 home games with opening and closing line data.

Date	Opponent	Open	Close	Move	Actual	vs Close	Result
Oct 8	Pacers	224.5	224.5	+0	269	+44.5	OVER
Mar 19	Jazz	234.5	231.5	-3	258	+26.5	OVER
Feb 10	Hawks	239.5	239.5	+0	254	+14.5	OVER
Jan 9	Cavaliers	239.5	239.5	+0	253	+13.5	OVER
Oct 28	Nuggets	229.5	229.5	+0	241	+11.5	OVER
Jan 30	OKC	227.5	227.5	+0	234	+6.5	OVER
Oct 30	LA Lakers	224.5	224.5	+0	231	+6.5	OVER
Dec 28	Nets	224.5	224.5	+0	230	+5.5	OVER

Upcoming Schedule

6 games remaining.

Date	Matchup	Rest	Profile Signal
Jan 24	vs Golden State HOME · B2B	B2B	Standard
Mar 31	@ Mavericks AWAY	64 days	Road over in profile
Apr 2	@ Pistons AWAY	2 days	Road over in profile
Apr 3	@ 76ers AWAY · B2B	B2B	Road over in profile
Apr 5	vs Hornets HOME	1 days	Standard
Apr 7	@ Pacers AWAY	1 days	Road over in profile

Recent Game Log

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close	O/U
Mar 28	Pistons	87-109	196	222.5	-26.5	UNDER
Mar 26	Rockets	110-108	218	223.5	-5.5	UNDER
Mar 23	@ Celtics	92-102	194	221.5	-27.5	UNDER
Mar 21	Portland	104-108	212	231.5	-19.5	UNDER
Mar 19	Jazz	147-111	258	231.5	+26.5	OVER
Mar 18	Suns	116-104	220	221.5	-1.5	UNDER
Mar 15	@ OKC	116-103	219	227.5	-8.5	UNDER
Mar 14	@ Golden State	117-127	244	224.5	+19.5	OVER
Mar 12	@ Clippers	153-128	281	226.5	+54.5	OVER
Mar 11	@ LA Lakers	120-106	226	229.5	-3.5	UNDER
Mar 7	Magic	92-119	211	224.5	-13.5	UNDER
Mar 6	Raptors	115-107	222	226.5	-4.5	UNDER
Mar 4	Grizzlies	117-110	227	235.5	-8.5	UNDER
Mar 1	@ Nuggets	108-117	225	240.5	-15.5	UNDER
Feb 27	@ Clippers	88-94	182	220.5	-38.5	UNDER

Methodology

Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (80 games: 41 home, 39 away).
vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
O/U computed on 40 of 41 home games and 39 of 39 away games with verified lines.

For live intelligence, visit Ref Tendencies.