New Orleans Pelicans
80 games
ATS44–32
O/U39–38
57.9% against the spread
NBA 2025–26
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Profile
New Orleans Pelicans cover 62.5% at home this season.
After a Loss
52 games
ATS25–24
O/U26–24
52 games after a straight-up loss this season
ATS · Home
25–15
62.5% against the spread
42 games
ATS · Away
19–17
52.8% against the spread
38 games
O/U · Home
21–20
51.2% over the closing total
42 games · avg +2.2 pts
O/U · Away
18–18
50% over the closing total
38 games · avg -1.8 pts
Strongest Plays
1
Over at home, 3+ days rest
75%
4 games · +17.3 vs close
2
Home cover on back-to-back
66.7%
6 games
3
Home cover (all rest)
62.5%
40 games
Home vs Away
Home (42 games)
PPG117.7
Opponent PPG118.4
Avg Total236
Close-Game Over %47.8%
Blowout Rate33.3%
Away (38 games)
PPG112.9
Opponent PPG120.1
Avg Total232.9
Over %50%
Cover %52.8%
Rest Splits (Home)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 6 | 33.3% | -6.5 | 66.7% |
| 1 day rest | 23 | 68.2% | +6 | 61.9% |
| 2 days rest | 9 | 11.1% | -7.9 | 66.7% |
| 3+ days rest | 4 | 75% | +17.3 | 50% |
Rest Splits (Away)
| Rest | Games | Over % | vs Close | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-to-back | 8 | 71.4% | +3.1 | 42.9% |
| 1 day rest | 25 | 41.7% | -3 | 50% |
| 2 days rest | 4 | 50% | -7.3 | 100% |
| 3+ days rest | 1 | 100% | +13.5 | 0% |
Largest Over Beats (Home)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3 | Minnesota | 142-149 | 291 | 229.5 | +61.5 |
| Feb 21 | Bucks | 118-139 | 257 | 224.5 | +32.5 |
| Dec 9 | San Antonio | 132-135 | 267 | 238.5 | +28.5 |
| Nov 25 | Bulls | 143-130 | 273 | 245.5 | +27.5 |
| Dec 19 | Rockets | 133-128 | 261 | 236.5 | +24.5 |
Opening vs Closing Lines
8 home games with opening and closing line data.
| Date | Opponent | Open | Close | Move | Actual | vs Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3 | Minnesota | 229.5 | 229.5 | +0 | 291 | +61.5 | OVER |
| Feb 21 | Bucks | 224.5 | 224.5 | +0 | 257 | +32.5 | OVER |
| Dec 9 | San Antonio | 238.5 | 238.5 | +0 | 267 | +28.5 | OVER |
| Nov 25 | Bulls | 245.5 | 245.5 | +0 | 273 | +27.5 | OVER |
| Dec 19 | Rockets | 236.5 | 236.5 | +0 | 261 | +24.5 | OVER |
| Nov 27 | Grizzlies | 236.5 | 236.5 | +0 | 261 | +24.5 | OVER |
| Oct 15 | Rockets | 233.5 | 233.5 | +0 | 258 | +24.5 | OVER |
| Dec 12 | Portland | 242.5 | 242.5 | +0 | 263 | +20.5 | OVER |
Upcoming Schedule
4 games remaining.
| Date | Matchup | Rest | Profile Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3 | @ Portland AWAY |
3 days | No edge |
| Apr 4 | @ Kings AWAY · B2B |
B2B | No edge |
| Apr 5 | vs Magic HOME |
1 days | Home cover in profile |
| Apr 8 | vs Jazz HOME |
1 days | Home cover in profile |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Opponent | Score | Total | Line | vs Close | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | Rockets | 102-134 | 236 | 226.5 | +9.5 | OVER |
| Mar 28 | @ Raptors | 119-106 | 225 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 26 | @ Pistons | 129-108 | 237 | — | — | N/A |
| Mar 24 | @ New York | 121-116 | 237 | 229.5 | +7.5 | OVER |
| Mar 21 | Cavaliers | 106-111 | 217 | 233.5 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 20 | Clippers | 105-99 | 204 | 228.5 | -24.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 19 | Clippers | 124-109 | 233 | 236.5 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 17 | Mavericks | 129-111 | 240 | 240.5 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 14 | @ Rockets | 107-105 | 212 | 230.5 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 12 | Raptors | 122-111 | 233 | 235.5 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 8 | Wizards | 138-118 | 256 | 244.5 | +11.5 | OVER |
| Mar 7 | @ Suns | 118-116 | 234 | 228.5 | +5.5 | OVER |
| Mar 6 | @ Kings | 123-133 | 256 | 236.5 | +19.5 | OVER |
| Mar 4 | @ LA Lakers | 110-101 | 211 | 242.5 | -31.5 | UNDER |
| Mar 2 | @ Clippers | 137-117 | 254 | 222.5 | +31.5 | OVER |
Methodology
- Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-29 (80 games: 42 home, 38 away).
- vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
- Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
- O/U computed on 41 of 42 home games and 36 of 38 away games with verified lines.
For live intelligence, visit Ref Tendencies.