NBA 2025–26

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Profile

Oklahoma City Thunder are 18-20 O/U at home and 22-19 on the road this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder

80 games

ATS34–44

O/U40–39

50.6% over the closing total

After a Loss

18 games

ATS8–9

O/U9–8

18 games after a straight-up loss this season

ATS · Home

16–22

42.1% against the spread

39 games

ATS · Away

18–22

45% against the spread

41 games

O/U · Home

18–20

47.4% over the closing total

39 games · avg -3.9 pts

O/U · Away

22–19

53.7% over the closing total

41 games · avg -0.3 pts

Strongest Plays

Over at home, 3+ days rest

66.7%

3 games · +0.2 vs close

Home cover on 3+ days rest

66.7%

3 games

Home vs Away

Home (39 games)

PPG117.9

Opponent PPG106.8

Avg Total224.7

Close-Game Over %52.9%

Blowout Rate46.2%

Away (41 games)

PPG118.3

Opponent PPG108.7

Avg Total227

Over %53.7%

Cover %45%

Rest Splits (Home)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	5	20%	-4.9	20%
1 day rest	18	52.9%	-3.6	41.2%
2 days rest	13	46.2%	-5	46.2%
3+ days rest	3	66.7%	+0.2	66.7%

Rest Splits (Away)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	8	50%	-4.1	25%
1 day rest	28	53.6%	+0	51.9%
2 days rest	4	50%	-1.3	25%
3+ days rest	1	100%	+26.5	100%

Largest Over Beats (Home)

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close
Dec 30	Hawks	140-129	269	232.5	+36.5
Oct 21	Rockets	125-124	249	224.5	+24.5
Nov 29	Suns	123-119	242	223.5	+18.5
Mar 9	Nuggets	129-126	255	237.5	+17.5
Nov 2	New Orleans	137-106	243	228.5	+14.5

Opening vs Closing Lines

8 home games with opening and closing line data.

Date	Opponent	Open	Close	Move	Actual	vs Close	Result
Dec 30	Hawks	232.5	232.5	+0	269	+36.5	OVER
Oct 21	Rockets	224.5	224.5	+0	249	+24.5	OVER
Nov 29	Suns	223.5	223.5	+0	242	+18.5	OVER
Mar 9	Nuggets	231.5	237.5	+6	255	+17.5	OVER
Nov 2	New Orleans	228.5	228.5	+0	243	+14.5	OVER
Feb 28	Nuggets	234.5	234.5	+0	248	+13.5	OVER
Dec 6	Mavericks	229.5	229.5	+0	243	+13.5	OVER
Jan 8	Jazz	242.5	242.5	+0	254	+11.5	OVER

Upcoming Schedule

6 games remaining.

Date	Matchup	Rest	Profile Signal
Mar 29	vs New York HOME	1 days	Standard
Mar 31	vs Pistons HOME · B2B	B2B	Standard
Apr 3	vs LA Lakers HOME	2 days	Standard
Apr 5	vs Jazz HOME	2 days	Standard
Apr 8	@ LA Lakers AWAY	1 days	No edge
Apr 9	@ Clippers AWAY · B2B	B2B	No edge

Recent Game Log

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close	O/U
Mar 28	Bulls	131-113	244	—	—	N/A
Mar 25	@ Celtics	119-109	228	222.5	+5.5	OVER
Mar 23	@ 76ers	103-123	226	224.5	+1.5	OVER
Mar 21	@ Wizards	111-132	243	229.5	+13.5	OVER
Mar 18	@ Nets	92-121	213	216.5	-3.5	UNDER
Mar 17	@ Magic	108-113	221	224.5	-3.5	UNDER
Mar 15	Minnesota	116-103	219	227.5	-8.5	UNDER
Mar 13	Celtics	104-102	206	216.5	-10.5	UNDER
Mar 9	Nuggets	129-126	255	237.5	+17.5	OVER
Mar 8	Golden State	104-97	201	219.5	-18.5	UNDER
Mar 5	@ New York	100-103	203	221.5	-18.5	UNDER
Mar 4	@ Bulls	108-116	224	231.5	-7.5	UNDER
Mar 2	@ Mavericks	87-100	187	236.5	-49.5	UNDER
Feb 28	Nuggets	127-121	248	234.5	+13.5	OVER
Feb 26	@ Pistons	124-116	240	220.5	+19.5	OVER

Methodology

Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (80 games: 39 home, 41 away).
vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
O/U computed on 38 of 39 home games and 41 of 41 away games with verified lines.

For live intelligence, visit Ref Tendencies.