NBA 2025–26

Orlando Magic Betting Profile

Games involving Orlando go over 56.4% at home and finish +2.7 points above the closing total. After a loss, Orlando Magic cover 56.3% (18-14).

Orlando Magic

77 games

ATS37–38

O/U43–33

56.6% over the closing total · Orlando Magic and their opponents average 3.2 points over the closing total

After a Loss

34 games

ATS18–14

O/U17–16

Orlando Magic cover 56.3% of the time after a loss

ATS · Home

19–19

50% against the spread

40 games

ATS · Away

18–19

48.6% against the spread

37 games

O/U · Home

22–17

56.4% over the closing total

40 games · avg +2.7 pts

O/U · Away

21–16

56.8% over the closing total

37 games · avg +3.8 pts

Strongest Plays

Over at home, 3+ days rest

80%

5 games · +16.9 vs close

Over in close home games

60%

25 games · margin ≤10

Home cover on back-to-back

60%

5 games

Home vs Away

Home (40 games)

PPG116.5

Opponent PPG114.3

Avg Total230.8

Close-Game Over %60%

Blowout Rate17.5%

Away (37 games)

PPG116.1

Opponent PPG115

Avg Total231.1

Over %56.8%

Cover %48.6%

Rest Splits (Home)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	5	40%	+2.3	60%
1 day rest	25	54.2%	+0.2	52.2%
2 days rest	5	60%	+1.3	40%
3+ days rest	5	80%	+16.9	40%

Rest Splits (Away)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	7	57.1%	+7.5	71.4%
1 day rest	23	52.2%	+1.7	39.1%
2 days rest	3	66.7%	+2.2	33.3%
3+ days rest	4	75%	+10.5	75%

Largest Over Beats (Home)

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close
Jan 4	Pacers	135-127	262	228.5	+33.5
Mar 12	Wizards	136-131	267	236.5	+30.5
Oct 22	Heat	125-121	246	215.5	+30.5
Oct 16	New Orleans	132-125	257	227.5	+29.5
Jan 31	Raptors	130-120	250	221.5	+28.5

Opening vs Closing Lines

8 home games with opening and closing line data.

Date	Opponent	Open	Close	Move	Actual	vs Close	Result
Jan 4	Pacers	228.5	228.5	+0	262	+33.5	OVER
Mar 12	Wizards	229.5	236.5	+7	267	+30.5	OVER
Oct 22	Heat	215.5	215.5	+0	246	+30.5	OVER
Oct 16	New Orleans	227.5	227.5	+0	257	+29.5	OVER
Jan 31	Raptors	221.5	221.5	+0	250	+28.5	OVER
Dec 13	New York	225.5	225.5	+0	252	+26.5	OVER
Mar 11	Cavaliers	225.5	226.5	+1	250	+23.5	OVER
Nov 22	New York	230.5	230.5	+0	254	+23.5	OVER

Upcoming Schedule

6 games remaining.

Date	Matchup	Rest	Profile Signal
Mar 29	@ Raptors AWAY	2 days	No edge
Mar 31	vs Suns HOME	1 days	Standard
Apr 1	vs Hawks HOME · B2B	B2B	Standard
Apr 4	@ Mavericks AWAY	1 days	No edge
Apr 5	@ New Orleans AWAY	1 days	No edge
Apr 6	vs Pistons HOME · B2B	B2B	Standard

Recent Game Log

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close	O/U
Mar 26	Kings	121-117	238	—	—	N/A
Mar 25	@ Cavaliers	136-131	267	230.5	+36.5	OVER
Mar 23	Pacers	126-128	254	233	+21	OVER
Mar 21	LA Lakers	104-105	209	232.5	-23.5	UNDER
Mar 19	@ Hornets	130-111	241	225.5	+15.5	OVER
Mar 17	OKC	108-113	221	224.5	-3.5	UNDER
Mar 16	@ Hawks	124-112	236	232.5	+3.5	OVER
Mar 15	@ Heat	117-121	238	236.5	+1.5	OVER
Mar 12	Wizards	136-131	267	236.5	+30.5	OVER
Mar 11	Cavaliers	128-122	250	226.5	+23.5	OVER
Mar 9	@ Bucks	91-130	221	216.5	+4.5	OVER
Mar 7	@ Minnesota	92-119	211	224.5	-13.5	UNDER
Mar 6	Mavericks	115-114	229	230.5	-1.5	UNDER
Mar 4	Wizards	126-109	235	228.5	+6.5	OVER
Mar 1	Pistons	92-106	198	224.5	-26.5	UNDER

Methodology

Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-26 (77 games: 40 home, 37 away).
vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
O/U computed on 39 of 40 home games and 37 of 37 away games with verified lines.

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