NBA 2025–26

Utah Jazz Betting Profile

Games involving Utah go over 70% at home and finish +10.3 points above the closing total. After a loss, totals go over 57.4% (31-23).

Utah Jazz

78 games

ATS39–36

O/U46–31

59.7% over the closing total · Utah Jazz and their opponents average 5.7 points over the closing total

After a Loss

55 games

ATS29–23

O/U31–23

Utah Jazz games go over 57.4% of the time after a loss

ATS · Home

20–19

51.3% against the spread

40 games

ATS · Away

19–17

52.8% against the spread

38 games

O/U · Home

28–12

70% over the closing total

40 games · avg +10.3 pts

O/U · Away

18–19

48.6% over the closing total

38 games · avg +0.8 pts

Strongest Plays

Over in close home games

77.3%

22 games · margin ≤10

Over at home, back-to-back

75%

8 games · +15.5 vs close

Over at home

70%

40 games · +10.3 vs close

Home vs Away

Home (40 games)

PPG120.7

Opponent PPG126.8

Avg Total247.5

Close-Game Over %77.3%

Blowout Rate37.5%

Away (38 games)

PPG114.7

Opponent PPG124.1

Avg Total238.8

Over %48.6%

Cover %52.8%

Over rate drops 21 points on the road (70% → 48.6%). This is a home-only play.

Rest Splits (Home)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	8	75%	+15.5	62.5%
1 day rest	18	61.1%	+4.6	35.3%
2 days rest	12	75%	+15.7	58.3%
3+ days rest	2	100%	+8	100%

Rest Splits (Away)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	6	50%	+3.2	60%
1 day rest	26	40%	-2.9	56%
2 days rest	3	100%	+9.8	33.3%
3+ days rest	3	66.7%	+17.8	33.3%

Largest Over Beats (Home)

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close
Nov 17	Bulls	150-147	297	245.5	+51.5
Nov 12	Pacers	152-128	280	233.5	+46.5
Oct 28	Suns	138-134	272	230.5	+41.5
Mar 24	Raptors	127-143	270	231	+39
Dec 19	LA Lakers	135-143	278	242.5	+35.5

Opening vs Closing Lines

8 home games with opening and closing line data.

Date	Opponent	Open	Close	Move	Actual	vs Close	Result
Nov 17	Bulls	245.5	245.5	+0	297	+51.5	OVER
Nov 12	Pacers	233.5	233.5	+0	280	+46.5	OVER
Oct 28	Suns	230.5	230.5	+0	272	+41.5	OVER
Mar 24	Raptors	231.5	231	-0.5	270	+39	OVER
Dec 19	LA Lakers	242.5	242.5	+0	278	+35.5	OVER
Oct 30	Portland	235.5	235.5	+0	270	+34.5	OVER
Dec 16	Mavericks	240.5	240.5	+0	273	+32.5	OVER
Oct 17	Portland	235.5	235.5	+0	261	+25.5	OVER

Upcoming Schedule

6 games remaining.

Date	Matchup	Rest	Profile Signal
Mar 29	@ Suns AWAY · B2B	B2B	No edge
Mar 31	vs Cavaliers HOME	1 days	Home over in profile
Apr 2	vs Nuggets HOME	1 days	Home over in profile
Apr 4	@ Rockets AWAY	1 days	No edge
Apr 5	@ OKC AWAY	1 days	No edge
Apr 8	@ New Orleans AWAY	1 days	No edge

Recent Game Log

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close	O/U
Mar 28	@ Nuggets	135-129	264	—	—	N/A
Mar 26	Wizards	110-133	243	239.5	+3.5	OVER
Mar 24	Raptors	127-143	270	231	+39	OVER
Mar 22	76ers	116-126	242	233.5	+8.5	OVER
Mar 20	Bucks	128-96	224	227.5	-3.5	UNDER
Mar 19	@ Minnesota	147-111	258	231.5	+26.5	OVER
Mar 16	@ Kings	116-111	227	230.5	-3.5	UNDER
Mar 14	@ Portland	124-114	238	235.5	+2.5	OVER
Mar 12	New York	117-134	251	231.5	+19.5	OVER
Mar 10	Golden State	119-116	235	224.5	+10.5	OVER
Mar 8	@ Bucks	113-99	212	230.5	-18.5	UNDER
Mar 6	@ Wizards	112-122	234	240.5	-6.5	UNDER
Mar 5	@ 76ers	106-102	208	238.5	-30.5	UNDER
Mar 3	Nuggets	125-128	253	242.5	+10.5	OVER
Mar 1	New Orleans	105-115	220	244.5	-24.5	UNDER

Methodology

Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (78 games: 40 home, 38 away).
vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
O/U computed on 40 of 40 home games and 37 of 38 away games with verified lines.

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