NBA 2025–26

Washington Wizards Betting Profile

Games involving Washington go over 55.3% at home and finish +3.5 points above the closing total. After a loss, totals go over 59.6% (34-23).

Washington Wizards

76 games

ATS33–41

O/U43–33

56.6% over the closing total

After a Loss

57 games

ATS27–29

O/U34–23

Washington Wizards games go over 59.6% of the time after a loss

ATS · Home

19–19

50% against the spread

38 games

ATS · Away

14–22

38.9% against the spread

38 games

O/U · Home

21–17

55.3% over the closing total

38 games · avg +3.5 pts

O/U · Away

22–16

57.9% over the closing total

38 games · avg +2.3 pts

Strongest Plays

Home cover on 2 days rest

80%

5 games

Over at home, 2 days rest

60%

5 games · +5.3 vs close

Over after a loss

59.6%

57 games · +3.9 vs close

Home vs Away

Home (38 games)

PPG113.6

Opponent PPG123.1

Avg Total236.7

Close-Game Over %41.2%

Blowout Rate44.7%

Away (38 games)

PPG112.1

Opponent PPG123.9

Avg Total236

Over %57.9%

Cover %38.9%

Rest Splits (Home)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	7	42.9%	+2.5	42.9%
1 day rest	22	59.1%	+4.5	40.9%
2 days rest	5	60%	+5.3	80%
3+ days rest	4	50%	-2.5	75%

Rest Splits (Away)

Rest	Games	Over %	vs Close	Cover %
Back-to-back	7	71.4%	+5.6	50%
1 day rest	22	59.1%	+4.1	42.9%
2 days rest	7	42.9%	-5.5	28.6%
3+ days rest	2	50%	-1.5	0%

Largest Over Beats (Home)

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close
Oct 28	76ers	134-139	273	239.5	+33.5
Mar 1	Raptors	125-134	259	229.5	+29.5
Dec 27	Raptors	138-117	255	225.5	+29.5
Jan 31	LA Lakers	111-142	253	229.5	+23.5
Dec 2	Bucks	129-126	255	232.5	+22.5

Opening vs Closing Lines

8 home games with opening and closing line data.

Date	Opponent	Open	Close	Move	Actual	vs Close	Result
Oct 28	76ers	239.5	239.5	+0	273	+33.5	OVER
Mar 1	Raptors	247.5	229.5	-18	259	+29.5	OVER
Dec 27	Raptors	225.5	225.5	+0	255	+29.5	OVER
Jan 31	LA Lakers	229.5	229.5	+0	253	+23.5	OVER
Dec 2	Bucks	232.5	232.5	+0	255	+22.5	OVER
Nov 8	Cavaliers	241.5	241.5	+0	263	+21.5	OVER
Feb 21	Pacers	230.5	230.5	+0	249	+18.5	OVER
Feb 22	Hornets	223.5	223.5	+0	241	+17.5	OVER

Upcoming Schedule

6 games remaining.

Date	Matchup	Rest	Profile Signal
Mar 29	@ Portland AWAY	1 days	No edge
Mar 31	@ LA Lakers AWAY · B2B	B2B	No edge
Apr 1	vs 76ers HOME	1 days	Standard
Apr 4	@ Heat AWAY	2 days	No edge
Apr 5	@ Nets AWAY · B2B	B2B	No edge
Apr 7	vs Bulls HOME	1 days	Standard

Recent Game Log

Date	Opponent	Score	Total	Line	vs Close	O/U
Mar 28	@ Golden State	131-126	257	230	+27	OVER
Mar 26	@ Jazz	110-133	243	239.5	+3.5	OVER
Mar 22	@ New York	145-113	258	227.5	+30.5	OVER
Mar 21	OKC	111-132	243	229.5	+13.5	OVER
Mar 19	Pistons	95-117	212	231.5	-19.5	UNDER
Mar 17	Pistons	117-130	247	233.5	+13.5	OVER
Mar 16	Golden State	117-125	242	234.5	+7.5	OVER
Mar 14	@ Celtics	111-100	211	232.5	-21.5	UNDER
Mar 12	@ Magic	136-131	267	236.5	+30.5	OVER
Mar 10	@ Heat	150-129	279	235.5	+43.5	OVER
Mar 8	@ New Orleans	138-118	256	244.5	+11.5	OVER
Mar 6	Jazz	112-122	234	240.5	-6.5	UNDER
Mar 4	@ Magic	126-109	235	228.5	+6.5	OVER
Mar 3	Rockets	118-123	241	224.5	+16.5	OVER
Mar 1	Raptors	125-134	259	229.5	+29.5	OVER

Methodology

Data: 2025-26 NBA regular season through 2026-03-28 (76 games: 38 home, 38 away).
vs Close: actual combined score minus closing total. Games without a verified closing line are excluded from O/U percentages.
Close game: final margin ≤ 10 points.
O/U computed on 38 of 38 home games and 38 of 38 away games with verified lines.

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